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Grocery Category-Wise Price Index Report | Jan–Dec Market Trends 2025 Research Report by Food Data Scrape

Report Overview

Grocery prices in 2025 reflected a year of gradual stabilization mixed with category-level volatility. While overall inflation pressures softened, seasonal demand, global commodity movements, and supply-side factors continued to influence pricing across essential and non-essential grocery categories. This Grocery Category-Wise Price Index Report (Jan–Dec 2025) by Food Data Scrape presents a structured, month-by-month analysis of grocery price movements across major categories, powered by Grocery App Data Scraping services that capture real-time pricing trends. Using January as the base index (100), the report tracks how prices evolved throughout the year across leading online platforms through Grocery Delivery Scraping API Services and identifies which categories experienced sustained inflation, seasonal volatility, or relative stability.

Grocery Price Index 2025
Key Highlights

Key Highlights

Staples and household essentials remained the most price-stable categories

Fruits and vegetables showed the highest volatility due to seasonality and supply disruptions

Dairy and packaged foods experienced gradual, controlled inflation

Edible oil prices stayed sensitive to global commodity trends

Beverages followed clear seasonal pricing cycles

Promotions played a key role in managing consumer price perception

Executive Summary

The year 2025 marked a critical transition phase for grocery pricing. While global inflation pressures softened compared to previous years, regional volatility, supply chain recalibration, climate impact on fresh produce, and shifting consumer behavior continued to influence prices across grocery categories.

This Grocery Category-Wise Price Index Report (Jan–Dec 2025) by Food Data Scrape presents a structured, month-by-month analysis of grocery price movements across major categories. Using January as the base index (100), the report tracks how prices evolved throughout the year and identifies which categories experienced sustained inflation, seasonal volatility, or relative stability.

The research is designed for retailers, FMCG brands, procurement teams, analysts, and policymakers who require a clear, data-backed view of grocery pricing trends in 2025, supported by an interactive Grocery Price Tracking Dashboard that enables continuous monitoring, comparison, and informed decision-making.

Research Objectives

The primary goals of this report are to:

  • Build a monthly grocery price index for 2025
  • Analyze category-wise inflation and deflation
  • Identify seasonal pricing patterns
  • Measure volatility vs stability across essential categories
  • Provide actionable insights for pricing and planning decisions

Methodology

Food Data Scrape followed a consistent and transparent research framework.

Data Sources

  • Online grocery and supermarket platforms
  • Large-format retailers and quick-commerce platforms
  • Publicly available product pricing and promotions

Time Period

  • January 2025 to December 2025

Index Construction

  • January 2025 = Base Index 100
  • Monthly average price calculated per category
  • Index reflects percentage movement compared to January

Categories Covered

  • Staples and grains
  • Fruits and vegetables
  • Dairy products
  • Edible oils
  • Packaged foods
  • Beverages
  • Household essentials

Category-Wise Price Index Analysis – 2025

Category-Wise Price Index Analysis – 2025

1. Staples and Grains

Staples showed measured and controlled inflation throughout 2025. Government stock management and improved logistics helped limit extreme price movements.

Key Observations

  • Stable pricing in Q1
  • Gradual rise during Q2 and Q3
  • Slight year-end increase due to festive demand

Index Movement

  • January: 100
  • June: 105
  • September: 107
  • December: 110

Staples remained one of the most predictable categories in 2025.

2. Fruits and Vegetables

Fresh produce remained the most volatile category in the grocery basket.

Key Observations

  • Sharp price spikes during off-season months
  • Weather disruptions impacted supply in mid-year
  • Strong corrections during peak harvest periods

Index Movement

  • January: 100
  • May: 120
  • August: 97
  • December: 115

The wide range highlights the importance of short-term pricing intelligence for this category.

3. Dairy Products

Dairy prices followed a steady upward trajectory in 2025.

Key Observations

  • Gradual month-on-month increases
  • Limited promotional rollbacks
  • Rising input and transportation costs reflected slowly

Index Movement

  • January: 100
  • June: 104
  • September: 106
  • December: 109

Dairy emerged as a slow but consistent inflation contributor.

4. Edible Oils

Edible oils continued to reflect global commodity sensitivity.

Key Observations

  • Price rise in early 2025 due to import cost pressures
  • Partial stabilization in Q3
  • Mild inflation persisted through Q4

Index Movement

  • January: 100
  • April: 114
  • September: 109
  • December: 112

Even with stabilization, edible oils remained above their January baseline.

5. Packaged Foods

Packaged foods showed strategic pricing behavior by brands.

Key Observations

  • Costs absorbed early in the year
  • Incremental increases rather than sharp hikes
  • Heavy reliance on promotions to manage perception

Index Movement

  • January: 100
  • June: 103
  • September: 105
  • December: 107

Brand-led pricing discipline helped control volatility.

6. Beverages

Beverages followed a clear seasonal demand curve.

Key Observations

  • Price peaks during summer months
  • Promotional intensity increased post-monsoon
  • Year-end pricing softened

Index Movement

  • January: 100
  • May: 113
  • August: 109
  • December: 103

Seasonality remained the dominant pricing driver.

7. Household Essentials

Household essentials were the most stable category in 2025.

Key Observations

  • Minimal inflation
  • Promotions influenced prices more than costs
  • Strong private-label competition

Index Movement

  • January: 100
  • December: 104

This category acted as a pricing anchor for retailers.

Consolidated Grocery Price Index Table – 2025

Category Jan Mar Jun Sep Dec
Staples & Grains 100 102 105 107 110
Fruits & Vegetables 100 112 120 97 115
Dairy Products 100 101 104 106 109
Edible Oils 100 110 114 109 112
Packaged Foods 100 101 103 105 107
Beverages 100 108 113 109 103
Household Essentials 100 101 102 103 104

Key Insights from 2025

  • Fresh Categories Drive Volatility Fruits and vegetables continued to dominate short-term price swings, making them unsuitable for long-term averaging.
  • Essentials Remain Inflation-Resilient Staples and household essentials saw controlled inflation, supported by policy measures and competition.
  • Promotions Shape Consumer Perception Packaged foods and beverages relied heavily on discounting to manage price sensitivity.
  • Global Markets Still Matter Edible oil prices closely mirrored international commodity trends despite local demand conditions.

Business Use Cases

Retailers

  • Plan promotions around peak inflation months
  • Balance private-label vs branded pricing
  • Improve inventory procurement timing

FMCG Brands

  • Track category-level inflation
  • Adjust pack sizes and MRP strategy
  • Benchmark pricing discipline

Market Research & Policy

  • Support CPI and inflation analysis
  • Study consumption behavior shifts
  • Identify stress points in food affordability

Data & Analytics Teams

  • Feed forecasting and elasticity models
  • Power dashboards and BI tools
  • Enable year-over-year comparisons

Data Availability & Customization

Food Data Scrape can deliver:

  • Excel and CSV datasets
  • API-based monthly price index feeds
  • Country or retailer-specific indices
  • Multi-year comparison reports

Custom methodologies and dashboards are available on request.

Conclusion

The Grocery Category-Wise Price Index Report for 2025 shows a market that is stabilizing but far from static. While essentials remained resilient, fresh categories and edible oils continued to inject volatility into household grocery spending. Seasonal demand, global inputs, and promotional strategies shaped how consumers experienced inflation throughout the year.

This research demonstrates how Food Data Scrape converts raw grocery pricing data into structured, decision-ready intelligence that supports smarter retail, FMCG, and policy planning.